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Updated November 28, 2019

Poly Price

Not much change occurred in Chinese polysilicon prices this week, which stayed at RMB 74/kg for mono-Si wafer and RMB 59/kg for multi-Si wafer.

There were price quotes proposed on polysilicon for multi-Si wafers but bargaining persisted without any deal completed because trading volumes were low, cast mono makers reduced their utilization rates, and the multi-Si wafer price was on the way to stabilize. The polysilicon price for multi-Si wafer shows strong signs of decline and would settle down in December within the range of RMB 1–2/kg. 
Polysilicon prices for mono-Si wafer hovered at RMB 74/kg this week amid a small shortage of mono-Si wafers. However, as polysilicon makers under maintenance have resumed full production capacity and brought online new capacity, the polysilicon for mono-Si wafers has improved somewhat in supply, which would cause its price gap with the polysilicon for multi-Si wafers to shrink.

In overseas markets, polysilicon business was modest in volume because overseas polysilicon prices are largely subject to their Chinese equivalents. This week, overseas markets saw polysilicon for mono-Si wafers in the high-price segment sustaining a small price decline, whereas that in other price segments remaining consistent with their previous levels.

Wafer Price

Hit by low multi-Si demand, high multi-Si cell supply, and weak pull-in for multi-Si cells, the downward trend in multi-Si wafer prices continued into this week, coming in at RMB 1.69–1.75/kg. As China’s multi-Si wafer prices decreased, the overseas multi-Si wafer price fell to USD 0.22–0.226/piece. The multi-Si wafer price would decrease further next week in both China and foreign markets.
Considering the current price for multi-Si wafers and that for polysilicon for such wafers, cast mono producers are operating at a deficit. Moreover, some operating producers, in a bid to maintain their utilization rates at certain levels, have taken to developing mid-and low-efficiency products, thus stimulating the market for such products. This week, Tier-1 makers of mono-Si wafers published their list prices for December, which are identical to those for the last month. The market price for mono-Si wafers was RMB 2.95–3.06/piece. Yet, amid a small shortage of mono-Si wafers, there were considerably fewer deals clinched at RMB 2.95/piece. High demand for mono-Si wafers would continue into the end of this year.

Cell Price

Even though cell prices have broken even for quite a few producers, the multi-Si cell price keeps falling. The market price for such cells was RMB 2.9/piece or RMB 0.63/W. While some multi-Si cell production lines have switched to mono-Si cells or slowed down in response to the continued price decrease, several Tier-1 makers are still going all-out, making it difficult to diminish the oversupply of such cells for the short term.
The multi-Si cell price in overseas markets also trended downward this week. Hit by the persistent decline in China and the continued decrease in procurement prices asked by Indian module makers, the overseas trading price for multi-Si cell price was down to under USD 0.08/W this week. Moreover, the multi-Si cell price of capacities in Southeast Asia rapidly declined in line with prices in China, having fallen to under USD 0.1/W.
Meanwhile, strong demand for mono products across the supply chain allowed the price for mono PERC cells to climb in China to RMB 0.95/W but retain its previous level in overseas markets. 

Module Price

Through an analysis of the solar projects allocated from recent auctions, China’s multi-Si module price is still on the decrease and has come in at RMB 1.58–1.65/W in the market. The market price for multi-Si modules in China keeps falling and thereby cause slow decreases in overseas multi-Si module prices. 
The price for mono PERC modules turned stable in China this week. For overseas markets, however, it sustains decrease amid the pessimistic sentiment that envelops the less-busy-than-expected Q4, with producers undercutting each other by offering lower price quotes for the first half of 2020.

PV Glass Price

With its overall demand due to remain strong in December, PV glass is somewhat low in supply and thereby achieved a further price increase to RMB 28.5–30/m2.

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